Fed pause is a ‘green light’ for investors — Here’s what it means for crypto

The Fed’s rate pause and hints at future cuts will be a major boost for crypto assets, say analysts.
The Fed’s rate pause and hints at future cuts will be a major boost for crypto assets, say analysts.

A decision from the United States Federal Reserve to pause and possibly lower interest rates in 2024 will likely serve as a “positive boost” for cryptocurrencies and crypto stocks.

In a Dec. 13 interview with Bloomberg, BlackRock fund manager Jeffrey Rosenberg described the Fed’s rate pause and hint at rate cuts next year as a “green light” for investors, with the S&P 500 rallying 1.37% on the decision.

“This bullish sentiment can go on for a while, at least until we get a new round of economic data, and until then, the message is clear: the fed is more than willing to see an easing in financial conditions.”

Crypto stocks saw significant gains on the back of the announcement, too, with shares of Coinbase and MicroStrategy spiking 7.8% and 5%, respectively, while Bitcoin (BTC) miner Marathon Digital jumped 12.6%.

Henrik Andersson, chief investment officer at investment fund Apollo Crypto, told Cointelegraph that he expects the Fed’s pause and the expectation of lowered interest rates in 2024 to be a “positive boost” for cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks, adding:

“If we see the likes of BlackRock and Fidelity launch Bitcoin ETFs, we can expect a lot of other traditional financial institutions to enter the crypto markets as well.”

Blockchain equities recently experienced their largest weekly inflows on record, with a staggering $126 million flowing into crypto-related stocks, according to a Dec. 11 report from CoinShares.

CoinShares’ head of research James Butterfill also found that digital asset investment products experienced their eleventh straight week of inflows, posting a weekly gain of $43 million.

Crypto products notched an eleventh straight week of inflows. Source: CoinShares

Tina Teng, market analyst at CMC Markets, told Cointelegraph the Fed’s rate pause would undoubtedly increase market enthusiasm for crypto products.

“The pivot boosted broad risk-on sentiment and improved expectations for future liquidity conditions, thereby buoying crypto stocks in the same manner.”

Related: Bitcoin to surge to $80K as stablecoins overtake Visa in 2024: Bitwise

Teng said investors can expect to see similar bullish trends not seen since previous rate-cute cycles, amplified by institutional interest in pending spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which are currently slated for a decision in early January.

However, Andersson added that a side effect of lower interest rates could be the cooling of the real-world asset tokenization narrative, with expected increases in decentralized finance (DeFi) yields becoming more attractive to investors in a low-rate environment.

“A lot of the interest so far has been in tokenizing treasuries. We now see an environment where we can generate in excess of 10% yield in DeFi while traditional yields are heading the opposite direction,” he added.

Like many market commentators, Teng and Andersson both looked to the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024 as a significant catalyst for overall crypto market growth.

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