Since breaking it last week, Bitcoin is grappling with the $100,000 milestone, struggling to stay above this critical level. Despite the price facing resistance, Bitcoin continues to show strength, signaling potential for further upward momentum in the near term. Investors and analysts are watching closely as the market seeks confirmation of its next move.
Data from CryptoQuant highlights an intriguing trend: new investors are stepping in with force. The realized capitalization of coins held by newcomers (those holding for up to one month) has surpassed $343 billion, marking an astounding 909% increase since the start of this bull cycle. This surge underscores the growing appetite for Bitcoin among fresh market participants, even as long-term holders take profits at significant gains.
This dynamic suggests a healthy market rotation. New investors absorb coins sold by long-term holders, providing a foundation for continued demand. Such behavior is typical during late-stage bull runs, where retail and institutional interest peaks, fueling the final phases of a rally.
As Bitcoin consolidates below its all-time high, the focus remains on whether it can establish a foothold above $100,000. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether the bull cycle continues or a correction is on the horizon.
Bitcoin Consolidation Below $100K Continues
Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase below the $100K level since November 22. Despite breaking above this key psychological threshold, the price has struggled to maintain momentum and continue rising. This price action is likely attributed to long-term holders taking profits at these elevated levels, creating resistance. As these investors realize significant gains, it leaves room for price fluctuations as new buyers enter the market.
However, despite the pause in price action, there are signs that the demand for Bitcoin remains strong. CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared data on X revealing that the realized capitalization of coins held by new investors (those holding for up to one month) has surpassed $343 billion, reflecting an astonishing 909% increase since the start of this bull cycle. This surge indicates a significant shift in the market, where long-term holders are selling, but new players, including corporations and potentially governments, are absorbing the supply.
This influx of new capital suggests that large institutional players are driving the demand, with companies and government entities likely leading the charge. The growing interest from these institutional buyers could be a critical factor in maintaining the current uptrend in Bitcoin’s price. As long as new players continue to absorb the supply, the potential for Bitcoin to push higher remains intact, even as short-term price fluctuations persist.
Price Testing Liquidity To Move Up
Bitcoin is trading at $97,700 after failing to close above the $100K level five times out of six since it initially broke above it. Despite this struggle, the price looks poised to push higher and confirm a bullish breakout, which could take Bitcoin into uncharted territory. This resistance at $100K has created uncertainty, but the market still appears strong, and a successful daily close above this level would likely signal the next leg of the bull run.
However, there is a risk of a correction if Bitcoin fails to hold above the $100,000 mark in the coming days. If this level becomes a solid barrier again, BTC could experience a pullback and test lower levels, potentially leading to consolidation or a deeper retrace.
The price action in the next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its bullish momentum or if the market will shift to a more cautious stance. Investors will need to watch for signs of support around key levels to gauge the strength of the current rally.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView